Post by pieter on Jul 27, 2022 8:27:42 GMT -7
Dutch Poll pointer: Farmer party BBB shoots further up
Carolina Ann Maria "Caroline" van der Plas (born 6 June 1967) is a Dutch journalist and politician who has served as a member of the House of Representatives since 2021. A former member of the Centre Right Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA), which she left in 2019, she is the founder and current party leader of the Farmer–Citizen Movement (BBB). Behind Caroline van der Plas you see Geert Wilders Freedom Party PVV member of parliament, Fleur Agema, second after Geert Wilders in the party hierarchy.
In the latest Polling Guide, Caroline van der Plas party the BoerBurgerBeweging (Farmer-Citizen Movement), now represented with 1 seat in the House of Representatives, is making further gains. Where the party already reached 9 to 13 seats a month ago, that number has risen to 14 to 19.
This makes BBB in the Polling Guide, a weighted average of the seat polls by I&O Research, Ipsos/EenVandaag and Kantar, about the same size as Geert Wilders Freedom Party PVV (14 to 18 seats) and minister of Financial Affairs Sigrid Kaag's Centre Left Social Liberal D66 (13 to 17 seats). And clearly larger than other established parties such as GroenLinks (9-13), the Center left Labour Party PvdA (Social Democrats) (8-12), the leftwing Socialist Party SP (7-9) and the Center Right Christian Democratic CDA (6-10).
On the first day after the elections, 22 March 2021, Van der Plas immediately managed to get into the spotlight: She came to the Binnenhof on a tractor, was surrounded by camera crews and watched all news broadcasts.
Largest government party VVD falls 7 seats back
The only one that still stands out is the centre right Conservative Liberal VVD, although it has had to give up further ground in recent months, like most other coalition parties. Prime Minister Mark Rutte's party VVD now has 24 to 29 seats, a drop of about 7 seats compared to the current number in the House of Representatives.
According to research by I&O Research and Ipsos/EenVandaag, the VVD is losing seats to BBB, among other things, just like the CDA. To a lesser extent, both parties also see voters moving to other right-wing parties such as JA21, which is also in the plus with 5 to 9 seats. BBB still makes the most profit among people who did not vote in last year's elections.
According to political scientist Tom Louwerse, the maker of the Polling Indicator, the available research shows that switchers not only appreciate Caroline van der Plas' leadership, but the Farmer-Citizen Movement (BBB: Boer Burger Beweging) also explicitly benefits from the nitrogen crisis, which currently dominates the political agenda. "It will be interesting to see what happens if the attention for this decreases again and, for example, immigration becomes a major issue again. An issue that right-wing voters associate more with parties such as PVV, Forum for Democracy and JA21." Geert Wilders Party for Freedom (Dutch: Partij voor de Vrijheid, PVV) is a nationalist, right-wing populist political party in the Netherlands. Forum for Democracy (Dutch: Forum voor Democratie, FvD) is a far-right and populist Eurosceptic political party in the Netherlands that was founded as a think tank by Thierry Baudet and Henk Otten in 2016. JA21 (backronym for Juiste Antwoord 2021, lit. 'Correct Answer 2021' or 'Right Answer 2021') is a political party in the Netherlands, currently active in the Senate as the Nanninga Group (Dutch: Fractie-Nanninga). JA21 is a Right-wing populist, Eurosceptic, Anti-immigration, Fortuynist (the ideology of the murdered Dutch Rightwing Populist politician pim Fortuyn) and Conservative liberal political party. What Geert Wilders Freedom Party (PVV), Forum for Democracy and JA21 share is their Euroscepticism, anti-migration agenda and their Rightwing Populism.
Another ongoing trend is declining support for three of the four coalition parties. Only the ChristenUnie (Christian Union) manages to evade this, with 5 to 7 seats.
The Christian Union is the only government party which wins in the polls, it is a Christian Democratic political party bases its policies on the Bible, and takes the theological principles of charity and stewardship as bases for its support for public expenditure and environmentalism. The party has traditional an Calvinist christian and Evangelical supporters base, but some Roman Catholics also vote for the party because it has biblical, christian values and is less extreme than the Fundamentalist Calvinist Christian Reformed Political Party (SGP - Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij -)
Among the left-wing/progressive parties, the Party for the Animals is doing well with 8 to 10 seats. The European Federalist, Pro European and Social liberal competitor of the Social Liberal D66, Volt comes out at 2 to 5, the migrant party Think (Denk) at 2 to 4 and Bij1 at 0 to 2.
Farmer party BBB leader Caroline van der Plas at a Dutch farmers demonstration
Source: nos.nl/artikel/2438502-peilingwijzer-bbb-schiet-verder-omhoog